From now on, follow the ‘Woodbird Rule’
Seventy degree weather almost daily, spring allergies run a muck, beautiful flowers are blooming everywhere and the Masters, is finished.
It’s spring time fantasy golfers.
Not only does this mean the PGA Tour is fully underway now with one big tournament after another, it’s also time for myself to wear out the rest of the team on the links.
Sorry boys, the Woodbird is proving his nickname this year with a flurry of birdies coming your way “chirp chirp.”
In the meantime, let’s take a serious look at the PGA golfers who will be taking on the “short and tight” Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, South Carolina for the 2017 RBC Heritage Tournament.
I’m not really sure any of us at the Kings of Fantasy have recovered from Sunday’s incredible finish at The Masters.
Congratulations to Sergio Garcia on his first green jacket and his first career “Major” victory in 74 tries.
As for the team, we had a serviceable and productive fantasy week.
In addition, there was a huge lesson learned this past week and that is to stick to your gut.
As the Carolina Godfather has often told me, “don’t let Tommy Talksalot on your shoulder talk you out of a pick.”
Well, I did and the Godfather is not letting me forget it.
Back in January, I told the team that Garcia would win the Masters. The Godfather played him in several lineups, Moose had him in a lineup and so did the Wolfman.
However, the old Woodbird didn’t.
At the beginning of the week, I changed my top pick to Phil Mickelson and ignored the numerous warning from the Godfather not to listen to Tommy Talksalot.
Anyway, the gut-wrenching moral of this story is when you pick a player to play in daily fantasy — play them. Once they are in your lineup do not listen to that little demon on your shoulder telling you to change that player unless injury has occurred.
Learn from first hand heartbreak experience I’ve endured.
We have a new rule in the Kings of Fantasy and it’s called the, “Woodbird Rule.”
No explanation is necessary.
Golfers will be playing on a Jack Nicklaus/Pete Dye designed “shorty” one of if not the shortest course on Tour this week.
Harbour Town is 7,101 yards long. This a par 71 course that is extremely narrow.
A challenging and mentally grinding course, just what these golfers needed after a week at the Masters….not. Sea breezes and hazards make this course even tougher.
Stats to Target
Driving accuracy is by far the most important stat to look at. With narrow fairways, golfers must have precision accuracy off the tee box. There are 11 Par 4s, which means we are looking at players that have a great Par 4 scoring average.
Greens this week are smaller in size than what we are used to seeing, don’t overlook greens in regulation as a factor in your lineups.
Finally, scrambling is the last stat you should look at. Plain and simple, no matter how good off the tee a golfer is, he will still occassionaly yank one in the into the woods.
It is golfers that can capitalize on their driving mistakes from off of the beaten path (fairways) that you should target.
1. Rafael Cabrera-Bello (DK $7,800): Probably the golfer you’ve never heard of that you should definitely know about. I picked him in the Shell Houston Open two weeks ago and he missed the cut. Thanks Rafa. Before that, however he had not missed a cut all season. Coming off hat missed cut and a tough outing at the Masters Cabrera-Bello will find his smooth driving swing and drive his way near the top of the leaderboard.
2. Jim Furyk (DK $7,900): Has stayed consistently in the middle of the pack this season. Making four out of five cuts shows consistency. The only bad part about that consistency, he averages about a 50th place finish. I’m going on a whim this week and putting Furyk in the top 20.
3. Russell Knox (DK $8,000): The dark horse pick of the week. Knox has played some pretty bad golf as of late just to be honest. 62nd being his best finish in his last five tour starts, however, this was at last week’s Masters. I’m expecting him to return to old form and get in the top 20’s like we are used to seeing him play in and how he played the first three tournaments of the season.
4. Charles Howell (DK$8,200): If you couldn’t already tell in riding the consistency train this week. Howell has made all of his eight cuts this season, averaging a finish in the top 30’s. Those numbers are just hard to argue with. Fire up some Howell in your lineups.
5. Francesco Molinari (DK $8,600): Quietly one of the most consistent players on tour this season. Making six out of seven cuts. Molinari can drive the ball well, this is why I’m targeting him. I just need him to hold it together on the greens, to finish in the top 15.
6. Bill Haas (DK $9,100): Projected winner. Haas, is a tough bird to judge. He plays so well at times, contending like a top golfer in the world. At other times he just lies low and plays mediocre golf. I think he brings his “A” game this week at a course that suits his playing style well and pulls his first victory in 2017.
1. Martin Kaymer (DK $9,500)
2. Tyrrell Hatton (DK $9,300)
3. Adam Hadwin ($8,800)
4. Jim Furyk ($7,900)
5. Kyle Stanley ($7,200)
6. Lucas Glover (DK $7,200)
1. Tyrrell Hatton (DK $9,300)
2. Kevin Na ($8,400)
3. Bryson DeChambeau ($8,300)
4. Pat Perez ($8,100)
5. Wesley Bryan ($7,700)
6. Kyle Stanley ($7,200)
1. Martin Kaymer (DK $9,500)
2. Adam Hadwin ($8,800)
3. Charles Howell III ($8,200)
4. Pat Perez ($8,100)
5. Marc Leishman ($8,100)
6. James Huh ($6,900)