Polling suggests Presnell is unpopular

Jan 29, 2014

Recent information released by Public Policy Polling shows N.C. Rep. Michele Presnell, who represents portions of Haywood, Yancey and Madison counties, will face an uphill battle if she decides to seek re-election.

The poll surveyed voters in five key state House Republican districts and found all had negative voter approval ratings. Of the five, Presnell’s ratings indicated she was in the worst shape.

“Twice as many voters (40 percent) disapprove of her job performance as (20 percent) approve,” the PPP document states. “Legislative Republicans face 55 percent disapproval compared to only 33 percent approval and Pat McCrory has a staggering 59 percent disapproval compared to only 28 percent approval. These numbers mean the Republican legislature and Governor McCrory are more unpopular with her (Presnell’s) constituents than they are in any of the other districts. She’s only polling at 40 percent for reelection against a generic Democratic opponent to begin with, and 68 percent say her vote to cut public education makes it less likely that they’ll cast a ballot for her this fall.”

PPP conducted all five polls on behalf of the North Carolina Democratic House

Caucus on Jan. 22  and 23. In Presnell’s HD 119 district, 982 voters were interviewed with a margin of error of +/-3.1 percent.

 

Overall, the poll found all five Republican incumbents had four things in common:

1) Every Republican incumbent has a negative approval rating, and all have reelect

numbers well below 50 percent against a generic Democratic opponent.

2) Pat McCrory, who won all of these districts overwhelmingly in 2012 is now quite

unpopular in each of them. That means the Governor is now a drag on the ticket

heading into the 2014 cycle for the very Republicans who were elected on his

coattails in 2012.

3) House Republicans as a whole are very unpopular in each district.

4) The GOP representatives are extremely vulnerable to messaging about their votes

that resulted in cuts to public education.

“What the polls show is that the landscape has shifted dramatically since the 2012

legislative elections. There’s still a great deal of anger toward Republicans in the North

Carolina House about the actions they took during last year’s legislative session; this

polling suggests that, if strong Democratic candidates run in these districts, they’ll have a

good chance at winning this fall,” the document stated.

Other districts polled with Republicans incumbents included HD 8 — Rep. Susan Martin, Pitt and Wilson counties; HD 9 — Rep. Brian Brown, Pitt County; HD 36 — Rep. Nelson Dollar, Wake County and  HD 45 - Rep. John Szoka, Cumberland County.